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 covariance estimation


Private Adaptive Covariance Estimation via Gaussian Graphical Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose PACE-GGM, a data-adaptive differentially private method for covariance estimation that concentrates its privacy budget on the most informative entries of the empirical covariance matrix, rather than perturbing all entries. This applies in the natural setting where the modeler supplies separate bounds for each variable, so that individual entries can be measured with less noise than the full matrix. In each round, our method selects a poorly approximated entry, measures it using the Gaussian mechanism, and then reconstructs a full covariance matrix using a maximum-entropy reconstruction objective, leading to a Gaussian graphical model structure. Experiments on diverse real-world datasets demonstrate consistent improvements in estimation error with respect to the Gaussian mechanism and other baselines, particularly in high-dimensional and low-to-moderate privacy regimes.




Nonparametric Estimation of Isotropic Covariance Function

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A nonparametric model using a sequence of Bernstein polynomials is constructed to approximate arbitrary isotropic covariance functions valid in $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ and related approximation properties are investigated using the popular $L_{\infty}$ norm and $L_2$ norms. A computationally efficient sieve maximum likelihood (sML) estimation is then developed to nonparametrically estimate the unknown isotropic covaraince function valid in $\mathbb{R}^\infty$. Consistency of the proposed sieve ML estimator is established under increasing domain regime. The proposed methodology is compared numerically with couple of existing nonparametric as well as with commonly used parametric methods. Numerical results based on simulated data show that our approach outperforms the parametric methods in reducing bias due to model misspecification and also the nonparametric methods in terms of having significantly lower values of expected $L_{\infty}$ and $L_2$ norms. Application to precipitation data is illustrated to showcase a real case study. Additional technical details and numerical illustrations are also made available.


Differentially Private Covariance Revisited

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we present two new algorithms for covariance estimation under concentrated differential privacy (zCDP). The first algorithm achieves a Frobenius error of Opd1{4?


Machine Learning-Assisted High-Dimensional Matrix Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices--including covariance and precision matrices--is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators (e.g., consistency and sparsity), while largely overlooking the computational challenges inherent in high-dimensional settings. Theoretically, we first prove the convergence of LADMM, and then establish the convergence, convergence rate, and monotonicity of its reparameterized counterpart; importantly, we show that the reparameterized LADMM enjoys a faster convergence rate. Notably, the proposed reparameterization theory and methodology are applicable to the estimation of both high-dimensional covariance and precision matrices. Keywords: ADMM; High-dimensional; Learning-based optimization; Matrix estimation. 1. Introduction High-dimensional matrix estimation--covering both covariance and precision matrix estimation--constitutes a cornerstone of modern statistics and data science [1, 2, 3]. Accurate covariance estimation enables the characterization of dependence structures among a large number of variables [4, 5, 6], which is indispensable in diverse domains such as genomics [7, 8], neuroscience [9], finance [10, 11, 12], and climate science [13, 14]. Over the past two decades, substantial progress has been made in the statistical theory of high-dimensional matrix estimation, particularly with respect to the accuracy of estimators, including properties such as sparsistency and consistency [5, 15, 16]. However, in empirical studies, the dimensionality is often only on the order of tens to hundreds, and in many cases is comparable to the sample size [21, 22, 23, 24]. This observation highlights a notable gap between the statistical theory of estimators and the practical challenges of their computational implementation.


High-dimensional estimation with missing data: Statistical and computational limits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider computationally-efficient estimation of population parameters when observations are subject to missing data. In particular, we consider estimation under the realizable contamination model of missing data in which an $ฮต$ fraction of the observations are subject to an arbitrary (and unknown) missing not at random (MNAR) mechanism. When the true data is Gaussian, we provide evidence towards statistical-computational gaps in several problems. For mean estimation in $\ell_2$ norm, we show that in order to obtain error at most $ฯ$, for any constant contamination $ฮต\in (0, 1)$, (roughly) $n \gtrsim d e^{1/ฯ^2}$ samples are necessary and that there is a computationally-inefficient algorithm which achieves this error. On the other hand, we show that any computationally-efficient method within certain popular families of algorithms requires a much larger sample complexity of (roughly) $n \gtrsim d^{1/ฯ^2}$ and that there exists a polynomial time algorithm based on sum-of-squares which (nearly) achieves this lower bound. For covariance estimation in relative operator norm, we show that a parallel development holds. Finally, we turn to linear regression with missing observations and show that such a gap does not persist. Indeed, in this setting we show that minimizing a simple, strongly convex empirical risk nearly achieves the information-theoretic lower bound in polynomial time.